If I Were A Betting Man: Week 14 picks

Everyone likes to talk about bad beats, the bets that are seemingly won but then ripped away in agonizing fashion. But every once in a while, you’re on the right side of a bad beat, which brings us to last week’s Texas A&MLSU game.

Your trusty Betting Man took LSU at plus-14.5 based on the Tigers building a little confidence in winning a tight one vs,. Arkansas and the Aggies being idle for two weeks and having the pressure of impressing the playoff committee.

Well, the Aggies went out and stifled LSU for 55 minutes, building a 20-0 lead for what appeared to be a solid cover. LSU took over on its own 19-yard line having just one drive of longer than 30 yards on the night. Backup freshman QB Max Johnson was at the controls in a driving rain storm in a game that was clearly lost. So what happens? Yep, LSU drives 81 yards in 14 plays and scores the point-spread-covering TD with 38 seconds left. It was a classic backdoor cover/bad beat, except if you laid your (pretend) money on LSU.

Looking to avoid bad beats this week is Doug Bucshon from Orange&BlueNews.com, who will lend his Big Ten expertise with two Big Ten games on our slate. Chad Simmons, one half of the wonderful Mouths of the South podcast and Rivals Southeast analyst extraordinaire, will represent the Rivals analysts in a last ditch effort to turn their season around.

Off we go.

Spreads are from Covers.com. All games are on Saturday unless otherwise noted and times are ET.